Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
NEW
2 - 2
EVE
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
SHW
2 - 2
NEW
67%
18%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
BHA
2 - 0
CRY
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
LEE
2 - 3
BHA
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
OPA
1 - 2
BHA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1985 |
BRA
3 - 2
BHA
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
GRI
0 - 2
BHA
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |