FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
NEW
2 - 2
BOL
58%
26%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
NEW
2 - 2
CUM
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
GRI
2 - 2
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
NEW
1 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 1
NEW
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 1
NTT
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1983 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1982 |
TOT
2 - 0
BHA
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1982 |
BHA
0 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |