Newcastle vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
0 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
LIV
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
0 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRA
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
OLD
2 - 2
BRA
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 0
OLD
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |