Newcastle vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
NEW
0 - 1
CHL
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1915 |
NEW
1 - 2
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
SHE
1 - 0
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
BRA
1 - 1
SHW
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BRA
5 - 1
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1915 |
CHL
0 - 1
BRA
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
WBA
1 - 0
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |