Newcastle vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
NEW
6 - 3
MUD
52%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
TOT
2 - 0
NEW
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
MUD
2 - 0
NEW
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
ASV
0 - 0
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ARS
1 - 2
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
DER
1 - 1
BRA
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 2
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1920 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |