Newcastle vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
ARS
1 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHL
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
OLD
1 - 0
NEW
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
2 - 1
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
63%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
BRA
3 - 1
SHE
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 0
BRA
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
BRA
2 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
ASV
3 - 1
BRA
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1912 |
BRA
3 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |