Newcastle vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
SUN
0 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 2
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
0 - 4
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1909 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1909 |
PNE
2 - 2
BRA
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
BRA
5 - 1
TOT
59%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
BCF
3 - 4
BRA
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
BRA
3 - 1
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |