Newcastle vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
WOL
3 - 1
NEW
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
MID
2 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 3
SUN
72%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
2 - 1
ARS
74%
16%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
BRA
2 - 0
LIN
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
BRA
2 - 0
BUR
71%
17%
13%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
DER
2 - 3
BRA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1908 |
FUL
0 - 2
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
BRA
2 - 1
HUL
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |