Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
BPO
2 - 1
NEW
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
NEW
0 - 4
EVE
53%
20%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
SHW
1 - 1
NEW
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
WHU
1 - 1
NEW
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
NEW
0 - 1
SHW
43%
22%
34%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1961 |
PNE
0 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
BOL
3 - 1
NTT
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1961 |
ASV
4 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |