Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
FUL
4 - 3
NEW
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
2 - 1
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NEW
0 - 0
WHU
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 3
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
NEW
1 - 3
BUR
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
BOL
0 - 0
WBA
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
CHL
0 - 2
BOL
64%
19%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
BOL
1 - 0
SHW
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
NTT
2 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
BOL
3 - 2
FUL
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |