Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
ARS
2 - 3
NEW
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
MUD
27%
22%
51%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
LUT
0 - 3
NEW
53%
22%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 2
BPO
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 1
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 3
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
PNE
3 - 0
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1957 |
BOL
2 - 0
NTT
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
BOL
5 - 4
SHW
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |