Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
CHA
1 - 3
NEW
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
TOT
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1951 |
NEW
0 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
FUL
1 - 1
NEW
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 1
SHW
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1951 |
MID
1 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 2
WBA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 2
BPO
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1951 |
STO
2 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |