Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
SHW
2 - 0
NEW
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 2
WHU
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRI
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
LIV
4 - 2
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
NEW
3 - 1
ASV
49%
21%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 2
HUR
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
MID
3 - 1
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
BOL
2 - 4
SHW
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1932 |
WHU
3 - 1
BOL
53%
20%
27%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
65%
19%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |