Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BBU
1 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
NEW
4 - 1
MUD
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
TOT
5 - 2
NEW
55%
21%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
15%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BOL
3 - 2
BIR
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1928 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
MID
2 - 5
BOL
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1928 |
STO
4 - 2
BOL
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1928 |
BOL
2 - 1
BCF
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |