Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
1 - 2
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
NEW
0 - 1
WBA
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
LEE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1925 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
35%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
3 - 1
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
1 - 0
LEE
73%
16%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
WHU
1 - 1
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
HUR
0 - 0
BOL
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |