Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
HUR
2 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
OLD
0 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1923 |
BOL
0 - 2
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 1
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 1
MID
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |