Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
BOL
0 - 3
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
NEW
0 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1920 |
NEW
3 - 0
EVE
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
EVE
4 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1920 |
BOL
0 - 3
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 3
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1920 |
BOL
1 - 2
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1920 |
LIV
2 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1920 |
BOL
0 - 3
LIV
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |