Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
SHW
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
NEW
3 - 3
WBA
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
0 - 3
PNE
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1914 |
BUR
2 - 2
BOL
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
6 - 1
MUD
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
3 - 0
TOT
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1913 |
SHW
1 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |