Newcastle vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 2
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 4
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 1
NEW
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
6 - 2
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
LIV
0 - 1
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
MUD
2 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1911 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOT
60%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
NOT
3 - 2
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
BOL
1 - 0
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |