Newcastle vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 0
MUD
16%
22%
63%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
LIV
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
WBA
59%
21%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
SWA
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
BBU
1 - 2
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MUD
2 - 3
BBU
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
BBU
70%
18%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
BBU
1 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BBU
1 - 2
WBA
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |