Newcastle vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
CAR
2 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 0
WHU
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
WHU
1 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
5 - 2
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
NEW
4 - 1
DER
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
3 - 1
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
5 - 2
ARS
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
2 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
BBU
58%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1928 |
BBU
0 - 1
LEE
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |