Newcastle vs Blackburn Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 2
SHW
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 0
NEW
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
BBU
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
2 - 0
BRI
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
0 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
SHW
1 - 0
BBU
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
BBU
4 - 1
NTT
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |