Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
0 - 1
ARS
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BBU
2 - 2
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
OPA
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
FUL
2 - 3
BIR
55%
25%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2004 |
BIR
2 - 0
MID
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BIR
4 - 0
WBA
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ASV
1 - 2
BIR
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |