Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
NEW
0 - 1
IPS
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
WHU
1 - 0
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 4
MID
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
COV
4 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 2
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 0
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 2
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 3
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |