Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NEW
1 - 2
QPR
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 3
LEE
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
COV
1 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
NEW
3 - 4
MUD
54%
24%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1976 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
BIR
3 - 2
ASV
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
DER
4 - 2
BIR
75%
15%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BIR
1 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIV
42%
29%
29%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1976 |
WHU
1 - 2
BIR
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |