Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
STO
0 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
LEI
4 - 0
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 2
QPR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
BIR
1 - 4
LUT
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
COV
1 - 0
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
BIR
0 - 1
FUL
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
FUL
1 - 1
BIR
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
IPS
3 - 2
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |