Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1974 |
NOR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
0 - 0
NOR
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
56%
25%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1974 |
BIR
2 - 2
BUR
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1974 |
BIR
0 - 0
STO
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
BUR
2 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1974 |
LEI
3 - 3
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1974 |
BIR
1 - 0
SHE
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |