Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 0
PNE
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
NEW
5 - 5
WHU
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
BOL
2 - 1
NEW
53%
21%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
NEW
3 - 1
BBU
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1960 |
EVE
5 - 0
NEW
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 4
EVE
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1960 |
BIR
5 - 0
KBK
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1960 |
BPO
1 - 2
BIR
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1960 |
BIR
0 - 2
LEI
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |