Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 3
NEW
73%
15%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 3
NEW
52%
22%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
1 - 4
NTT
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 0
WBA
48%
23%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
LEE
3 - 0
NEW
47%
23%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 5
WBA
56%
21%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1957 |
ASV
0 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1957 |
LEI
2 - 2
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 3
MUD
31%
22%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |