Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 2
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
0 - 3
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 2
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
NEW
2 - 2
SUN
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
BUR
1 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 2
BPO
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
EVE
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1949 |
HUR
1 - 0
BIR
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 3
OPA
30%
26%
43%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |