Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
15.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
3 - 2
SHE
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 4
HUR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
SUN
43%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 2
SHE
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |