Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
MUD
4 - 7
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 2
GRI
65%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
DER
0 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1930 |
LEI
2 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
BIR
3 - 1
SHE
45%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |