Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
2 - 3
HUR
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 3
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
WHU
5 - 2
NEW
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 3
OPA
71%
16%
13%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
LIV
2 - 3
BIR
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |