Newcastle vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 4
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
LIV
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 4
NEW
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 1
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
BIR
0 - 1
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1921 |
BIR
0 - 2
WBA
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |