Europa League 1/16
Global 2-5
Newcastle vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
EVE
4 - 4
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MUD
3 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1977 |
NEW
1 - 2
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 1
NÎM
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 0
MET
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1977 |
TRO
1 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
36%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |