Newcastle vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
INT
2 - 2
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2003 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
NEW
3 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCB
29%
26%
45%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
FCB
2 - 0
LEV
70%
17%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 1
VAD
75%
16%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
OSA
2 - 2
FCB
24%
26%
50%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
INT
0 - 0
FCB
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |