Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2001 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
33%
26%
40%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
LIV
3 - 0
NEW
67%
20%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEI
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
ASV
3 - 2
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
TOT
0 - 0
ASV
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ASV
0 - 0
SOU
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CHA
3 - 3
ASV
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |