Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
BBU
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
LEI
2 - 0
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
WIM
1 - 1
NEW
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
ARS
1 - 0
ASV
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
ASV
3 - 4
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
MUD
2 - 1
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
ASV
2 - 0
NTT
72%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
LIV
0 - 1
ASV
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |