Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
SOU
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
1 - 3
SHW
57%
23%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
NOR
0 - 2
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1989 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1989 |
ASV
2 - 1
LUT
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1989 |
QPR
1 - 0
ASV
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
ASV
0 - 1
WHU
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
2 - 0
ASV
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
28%
28%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |