Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1984 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHW
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
LEI
2 - 3
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
NEW
3 - 1
BHA
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
HUR
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
NEW
4 - 0
DER
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1984 |
STO
1 - 3
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1984 |
ASV
1 - 0
COV
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1984 |
IPS
2 - 1
ASV
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1984 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1984 |
WHU
0 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |