Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
COV
0 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
BRI
3 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NTT
2 - 0
NEW
68%
18%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
0 - 2
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
0 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
0 - 3
LIV
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
ASV
0 - 0
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1978 |
COV
2 - 3
ASV
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |