Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
NEW
0 - 2
SUN
67%
17%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1956 |
OPA
0 - 2
NEW
60%
19%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 0
NEW
43%
22%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 1
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1956 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1956 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASV
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
48%
22%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 4
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |