Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 1
BBU
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
NEW
1 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
0 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
WBA
2 - 0
NEW
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1915 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
41%
25%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
4 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
2 - 2
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |