Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
LIV
6 - 5
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
PNE
4 - 0
NEW
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
TOT
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 1
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 0
ASV
38%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 2
TOT
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 2
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |