Newcastle vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
BOL
4 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
6 - 0
FUL
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1908 |
BBU
1 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
ASV
5 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BCF
2 - 1
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
ASV
3 - 0
PNE
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1908 |
BRI
2 - 2
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
3 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |