Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
SHE
2 - 0
NEW
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
NEW
5 - 1
ASV
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
NEW
3 - 2
OLD
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
LIV
0 - 2
NEW
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1994 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 0
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
ARS
0 - 2
WHU
66%
22%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
QPR
1 - 1
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1994 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
35%
29%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1994 |
ARS
1 - 1
WIM
58%
25%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |