Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
STO
0 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
0 - 1
EVE
50%
26%
25%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
LEI
4 - 0
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
NEW
2 - 2
QPR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
LEE
1 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
QPR
0 - 0
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 2
LEE
35%
29%
36%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1975 |
ARS
2 - 0
COV
56%
25%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHE
49%
26%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 1
STO
44%
28%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |