Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1934 |
NEW
0 - 0
SHW
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1934 |
BIR
1 - 2
NEW
43%
24%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1934 |
NEW
1 - 2
WBA
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
NEW
2 - 0
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1934 |
ARS
2 - 1
BBU
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1934 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
47%
23%
31%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1934 |
ARS
1 - 3
TOT
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1934 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |