Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
OPA
2 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAC
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
SHW
4 - 2
NEW
67%
18%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1930 |
BUR
0 - 3
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1930 |
ARS
4 - 0
BBU
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1930 |
ARS
1 - 0
HUL
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1930 |
ARS
2 - 2
HUL
83%
11%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1930 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |