Newcastle vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 1
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
WBA
4 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
BBU
1 - 2
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1927 |
NEW
7 - 3
EVE
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
0 - 2
HUR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1927 |
ARS
2 - 1
SOU
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1927 |
ARS
1 - 2
EVE
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1927 |
SHW
4 - 2
ARS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1927 |
WHU
7 - 0
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |